---
title: Brazil 2030: The Cost of Delay in the AI Era
locale: en
edition: public
updated: 2026-09-24
sourceRevision: 2026-09-24-derived
---

# Strategy

## Five commitments

1. **Support a verifiable slowdown.** Propose reciprocal limits on training and deployment above agreed risk thresholds. Shared evaluations, incident communication, and public criteria should determine when development stops and resumes.
   _Responsible actors:_ Presidency, Foreign Ministry, MCTI, and international partners
2. **Open a channel between China and the United States.** Offer Brazilian mediation for technical talks on evaluations, severe incidents, and deployment limits. Each side must be able to verify the measures without relying on political trust.
   _Responsible actors:_ Foreign Ministry, Presidency, and scientific community
3. **Prepare Brazil for coordination failure.** Designate a permanent authority for advanced AI risks, preferring an existing body with technical staff over one built from scratch, map foreign dependencies, and exercise responses across finance, energy, communications, and public services.
   _Responsible actors:_ Presidency, GSI, regulators, and critical infrastructure
4. **Build inference sovereignty.** Expand transmission, generation, and data centers with contractable capacity, a Brazilian contracting door, water limits, community consultation, and continuity for critical services. Segment workloads by supplier origin, offer anti-diversion verification to both blocs on Brazil's own initiative, and prefer several mid-sized projects over a single campus.
   _Responsible actors:_ Congress, MME, states, BNDES, and operators
5. **Measure and review results.** Publish contractable capacity, water consumption, grid costs, and permanent jobs. Independent review and expiry dates should end programs that fail to deliver public benefits.
   _Responsible actors:_ TCU, CGU, academia, and civil society